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GEORGE MONBIOT (COLUMNIST, 'THE GUARDIAN') - 25th April 2010

Well, if you believe the polls this week, in two weeks time the Brits will have a new resident at No. 10 Downing Street. But if Labour's Gordon Brown does go, the Tories' David Cameron replacing him is no longer a foregone conclusion. Until the last few days, outside of the UK, Nick Clegg - the David Cameron-look-alike leader of the UK's third party, the Liberal Democrats - was practically unknown. Now we're hearing of Clegg as the shooting star in the British political constellation, with an approval rating higher than any British politician since - wait for it - Winston Churchill himself. 'Clegg mania', the irrepressible British tabloids are calling it. So, with what could turn out to be a real boil-over election on Thursday week, Dateline thought it wouldn't go astray to take a look at Nick Clegg, the guy being billed as "the man who's changed the face of British politics "virtually overnight". Here he is this week, among other things putting the boots into bankers in general and Goldman Sachs in particular.

NICK CLEGG, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS LEADER: The allegations about alleged fraud in Goldman Sachs are extraordinarily serious. They're a reminder, if we needed any one, of the recklessness and greed that disfigured the banking industry as a whole. We believe that Goldman Sachs should now be suspended in its role as one of the advisors to the government, until these allegations are properly looked into. But there's a much bigger issue. Why is it that despite everything that's happened, despite everything that's coming to light, still no fundamental reform to the banking system has taken place? Why is it that still the government refuses to split up the banks? Why is it that still the Conservatives refuse to advocate the major structural changes which we believe are necessary to make our banking systems safe so it never again blows up in the face of the British people? For too long, governments of both the old parties have been obsessed with protecting, cosseting and doing special favours for one square mile of the British economy - the City of London - rather than serving the interests of the 100,000 square miles of the country as a whole.

Now, our approach, which we want to talk to you about this morning, starts from a very simple insight, which is this - that in exactly the same way that politics has been captured in this country for too long by a small clique of people from the establishment parties who have been able to stitch up the rules together to serve their own interests, so in a very similar but parallel fashion the banking system had become captive to a small clique of vested interests who ran the system for their own benefit and not for the benefit of the wider economy. It is a scandal that despite all the rhetoric by the government about increased lending from banks to British households and to viable British businesses in the last year alone lending actually declined by £41 billion. We believe that the banks that we own should be forced to lend to viable British businesses. They shouldn't be hoarding money - the hoarding of money, the hoarding of taxpayers' money, rather than the lending of money to British households and to viable British businesses is, in our view, now one of the major brakes to growth and economic activity in Britain, and we would change it. We would say to the banks, "You've got to lend money." We would set new targets. They would be net targets for lending - not gross lending targets, as the government has just introduced. And if the banks fail, the directors of the banks would be responsible and the government, if necessary, should sack them.

It was the Labour Party that, of course, was asleep at the wheel in the first place. It was the Labour Party that let the bankers gorge themselves on their bonuses, let the bankers create such huge liabilities in the system - the liabilities of the UK banking system in totality are now 4.5 times the size of the British economy. Gordon Brown will tell you it somehow had something to do with the subprime mortgage market in America. No! It was to do with the fact that the government didn't hold the bankers to account. Gordon Brown has now said it was a mistake - it was a mistake that the Labour government allowed the bankers to get away with blue murder. If it was a mistake, it was the biggest mistake in modern British history, a mistake which cost 1.3 million people their jobs, a mistake which has cost all taxpayers £1 trillion in the bailout of the banks. I have one message to him - "Your sorry is not good enough when you make a mistake on that scale." There you go. Nick Clegg, the new man-of-the-hour in British politics. Now, take a look at this. It's a headline from this week's 'Guardian' newspaper in the UK. As you can see, it reads: "What links the banking crisis and the volcano?" meaning, of course, the unpronounceable volcano in Iceland that this week caused all sorts of strife for airlines and their disgruntled passengers. I'll read to you again what can only be described as a pretty curious headline - "What links the banking crisis and the volcano?" Well, to find out what he was on about, via satellite from a noticeably busy studio in Oxford, England, is the man who wrote the article, George Monbiot, 'The Guardian's political and environmental commentator.

GEORGE NEGUS: George, it is good to see you again. We definitely want to talk to you about the link that you draw between the volcano drama, as it were, and other things, but I can't have you there as a British commentator without asking you about what they are calling here, 'Clegg mania'. What the heck is going on that suddenly, out of the blue, there's this guy that has shot from practically nowhere, in our terms, to potentially Number 10?

GEORGE MONBIOT, COLUMNIST, 'THE GUARDIAN': Well, the world's most boring election seems to have been turned on its head, and there really does seem to be a possibility of a very serious upset indeed here in the United Kingdom. My God, many of us are thinking "It's about time". We have had this 2-party system for a very long time. It feels very stale, very old fashioned, there's very little dividing Labour and the Conservatives. Suddenly, Nick Clegg of the Liberal Democrats seems to be steaming forward. The party which has always been in third place now looks as if it has a genuine chance of coming at least second, and even possibly first - according to some opinion polls. And he's got Labour and the Conservatives really worried here.

GEORGE NEGUS: I'll bet he has. They say that a day is a long time in politics, it's a couple of hours in his case, isn't it? He seems to have come from nowhere, to us as non-Brits.

GEORGE MONBIOT: Yes, and he is speaking a refreshing language - a language that a lot of people are ready to hear and there's this sense that these stale, old Tories, and the stale old Labour Party, who have got us into so much of this mess we are in today, have had their day. Nobody really wants Labour to have another term because we are sick and tired of them and yet very few people want the Tories to replace them. So, there's this great feeling of apathy and disillusion with politics and suddenly people are seeing that even in our very unfair first-past-the-post system, there might be a possibility for a third party to have a run.

GEORGE NEGUS: A little bit of Obama about it, George?

GEORGE MONBIOT: Well, you know, it has been greatly exaggerated. It's not an Obama effect really. It's not as if Nick Clegg is this fantastic, charismatic world-striding leader figure. It is just that the other two are so dull and hopeless.

GEORGE NEGUS: It is going to make for a very interesting couple of weeks that is for sure. George, we got you here really to talk about, if you like, another kind of volcanic explosion. We have got one with Nick Clegg, and that's the worst play on words I am going to make tonight, you've drawn this amazing link between the volcanic catastrophe, whatever we would like to call it, and the airlines, and in fact, the banking crisis and the whole GFC. Now, is that the longest bow you have ever drawn? What do you actually mean when you say that a link can be made between the GFC, the banking crisis, and what has happened in Iceland and the airlines this week with the volcanic eruption?

GEORGE MONBIOT: I think what both the airlines issue, the volcanic issue, and the banking crisis show us is that society becomes so complex that it effectively becomes unmanageable and a small disruption - the butterfly's wing over the Atlantic - can throw the whole thing into meltdown. Now, this is what we saw with the banking crisis, where the impoverished mortgage defaulters in the United States effectively brought down, or very nearly brought down, the whole world's financial systems. Because everything was so interlinked and so complex and so hard to understand and there was so a little give in the system, that a small disruption like that could create an enormous effect. Now, we saw the same with the ash cloud that we have become so dependent on aviation, which was previously a very small component of our economy, and aviation is so susceptible, it's so vulnerable to disruption for a number of reasons - partly because of climatic and physical changes, but also because of its enormous energy demands and its very high cost.

GEORGE NEGUS: You actually said, "Over the past few days, living under the flight paths, people have seen the future, and they like it." Are you suggesting that we just have to pull back?

GEORGE MONBIOT: Well, the party is going to end one way or another - not least because of the prospect of peak oil, where the supplies of liquid transport fuels are just not going to be available to the same extent that they are today. So, we either recognise that and try to forestall the tremendous disruption that will be caused by engineering a soft landing, or we wait like rabbits in the headlight for the truck to run us over. Or rather, for the truck not to be able to move down the road at all because there is no petrol in it!

GEORGE NEGUS: A lot of your supporters on this position have said this: "This cloud of ash will turn out to be a genuine silver lining. Maybe we will wake up to where our food comes from, the real price it costs to get it here, and the vulnerability of the systems in place." Is this a wake-up call, to use a dreadful platitude? That we should see from this how easy it would be for things to go horribly wrong?

GEORGE MONBIOT: Yes, and I think this is a bit like Hurricane Katrina in a way, that it's a glimpse of a possible future. Of course, the short-term interest in politics is to say, "Well, we'll just keep the ball rolling as far as possible and we boost economic growth and we do all this because it's popular. We boost jobs, we boost salaries and incomes and all the rest of it.” If what that means is that you are on a steady ascent which suddenly crashes and collapses, then you are going to cause far more economic destruction and human suffering and hardship, than if you have a managed decline instead.

GEORGE NEGUS: In the last few days you have been called a few things I imagine like a volcano worshipper, was one that I saw, but this quote I would like you to react to: "These crazy green, anti-humanist types, have celebrated the volcano as scoring a long overdue victory by nature over us horrible humans :with all our nasty civilisation and progress, such as air travel." What I guess he is writing you off as, George, as a doomsdayer?

GEORGE MONBIOT: It is precisely because I care about what happens to humans that I am interested in these questions. Many people try to create this false dichotomy between caring for the environment and caring about humanity, but the most anti-human position you can possibly have is not to give a stuff about the environment because human beings are totally dependent on that environment. It is this sort of ultra-right-wing attempt to defer and to deny the problem by trying to cast this as some opposition between environment and humanitarian concerns. The two concerns are one.

GEORGE NEGUS: Are you being realistic? Can you imagine people giving up a holiday in Greece? Can you see them going out and growing their own veggies? Are you asking normal human beings, everyday people, to give up these things that we call progress?

GEORGE MONBIOT: It is not a question of whether or not we are going to give these things up, it is whether or not we are going to give these things up voluntarily and in a managed and steady and careful and intelligent way or whether we are going to give them up through collapse and destruction, which is what we are talking about if we don't anticipate peak oil, for example, let alone issues like climate change and other forms of resource depletion. What we are looking for now, to come back to the beginning of the discussion, is the politicians who are bold enough to find a way out for us.

GEORGE NEGUS: George, always good to talk to you, always challenging, always fascinating and I hope we can talk again. Thanks for that.

GEORGE MONBIOT: Thanks very much George, my pleasure.

GEORGE NEGUS: George Monbiot, the man from 'The Guardian', who really does makes a habit of getting himself way outside the square. By the way, as unbelievable as it may sound, when they're not being grounded by an ash cloud from a volcano there are an average of around 25,000 flights over Europe each day. 25,000. Believe me - I'm a journalist!